Photo of Philip Tetlock

Philip Tetlock

Leonore Annenberg University Professor in Democracy and Citizenship

Professor of Management

Professor of Psychology

Research Interests: social and cultural psychology, decision processes

Links: CV, Personal Website, Department of Psychology

  • Ville Satopää, Jonathan Baron, Dean P. Foster, Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Lyle Ungar (2014), Combining Multiple Probability Predictions Using a Simple Logit Model, International Journal of Forecasting, 30 (2), 344 - 356.  Abstract
  • Shefali Patil, Philip Tetlock, Barbara Mellers (Under Review), Accountability systems and distributive justice norms: When do people adhere too much or stray too far from decision rules? .
  • Philip Tetlock, Ferdinand Vieider, Shefali Patil, Adam Grant (2013), Accountability and ideology: When left looks right and right looks left, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 122, 22 - 35.  
  • Shefali Patil, Ferdinand Vieider, Philip Tetlock, "Process and outcome accountability". In Oxford Handbook of Public Accountability, edited by Mark Bovens, Robert E. Goodin, Thomas Schillemans, (2012).  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock (2011), Intelligent management of intelligence analysis: Escaping the blame game by signaling commitment to trans-ideological epistemic values, American Psychologist
  • Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock (2011), Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: Escaping the accountability blame game by signaling commitment to trans-ideological epistemic values., American Psychologist
  • Philip Tetlock, W. T. Self, R. Singh (2010), The punitiveness paradox: When is external pressure exculpatory – And when a signal just to spread blame?, Experimental Social Psychology, 46: 388-395.  Abstract
  • L. J. Kray, L. G. George, K. A. Liljenquist, A. D. Galinsky, Philip Tetlock, N. J. Roese (2010), From what might have been to what must have been: Counterfactual thinking creates meaning, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell (2010), Situated social identities constrain morally-defensible choices: Commentary on Bennis, Medin, & Bartels, Perspectives in Psychological Science, 5: 206-208.
  • Barbara Mellers, M. P. Haselhuhn, Philip Tetlock, Alice M. Isen (2010), Predicting behavior in economic games by looking through the eyes of the players, Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
  • Philip Tetlock (2009), Reading Tarot on K Street, Reviews & Essays  
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell (2009), Implicit bias and accountability systems: What must organizations do to prevent discrimination?, Research in Organizational Behavior, 29: 3-38.  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell (2009), A renewed plea for adversarial collaboration, Research in Organizational Behavior, 29: 71-72.
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell (2009), Adversarial collaboration aborted, but our offer still stands, Research in Organizational Behavior, 29: 77-79.
  • H. Blanton, J. Jaccard, J. Klick, B. A. Mellers, G. Mitchell, Philip Tetlock (2009), Strong claims and weak evidence: Reassessing the predictive validity of the race IAT, Journal of Applied Psychology, 29: 567-582.  Abstract
  • G. Mitchell, Philip Tetlock (2009), Facts do matter: A reply to Bagenstos, Hofstra Law Review, 37: 937-953.
  • C.T. Tadmor, Philip Tetlock (2009), Disentangling reasons and rationalizations: Exploring perceived fairness in hypothetical societies, Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification, New York: Cambridge University Press. P. 8.
  • C.T. Tadmor, Philip Tetlock, K. Peng (2009), Acculturation strategies and integrative complexity: The cognitive implications of biculturalism., Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 40(2): 105-139.  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell (2008), Calibrating prejudice in milliseconds, Social Psychology Quarterly, 71:12-16.  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, G. Mitchell, T.L. Murray (2008), The challenge of debiasing personnel decisions: Avoiding both under- and overcorrection, Industrial and Organizational Psychology, 1: 439-443.  Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, M. Oppenheimer (2008), The boundaries of the thinkable: Environmentalism in the early twenty-first century, Daedalus, 137(2): 59-70.  Abstract
  • Don Moore, Philip Tetlock, Lloyd Tanlu, Max Bazerman (2006), Conflicts of interest and the case of auditor independence: Moral seduction and strategic issue cycling, Academy of Management Review, 31: 10-29.    Abstract
  • Philip Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know? (2005).