Photo of Philip Tetlock

Philip Tetlock

Leonore Annenberg University Professor in Democracy and Citizenship

Professor of Management

Professor of Psychology

Research Interests: social and cultural psychology, decision processes

Links: CV, Personal Website, Department of Psychology

Contact Information

Address: 3203 SH-DH, 3620 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104
Office: (215) 573-4923 (215) 746-8541
Office Fax: (215) 898-0401



Ph.D. Yale University, 1979 (Psychology); M.A. University of British Columbia, 1976; B.A. University of British Columbia, 1975;

Academic Experience

2011 -present Leonore Annenberg University Professor, School of Arts and Sciences (Psychology) and Wharton School (Management), University of Pennsylvania; 2002- 2010 Mitchell Endowed Professorship, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley; 2005-2006 Russell Sage Scholar; 1996-2001 Harold Burtt Professor of Psychology and Political Science, The Ohio State University; 1993-1994 Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford; 1993-1995 Distinguished Professor, University of California, Berkeley; 1988-1995 Director, Institute of Personality and Social Research, University of California, Berkeley; 1987-1996 Professor, Department of Psychology, University of California, Berkeley; 1984-1987 Associate Professor, Department of Psychology, University of California, Berkeley; 1980-1995 Research Psychologist, Survey Research Center, University of California, Berkeley; 1979-1984 Assistant Professor, Department of Psychology, University of California, Berkeley;

Administrative Experience

Group Chair, Organizational Behavior and Industrial Relations, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, 2002-present; Associate Dean for Academic Affairs, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, 2003-2004; Director, Ph.D. programs, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley; Director, Institute of Personality Assessment and Research (renamed in 1992 as Institute of Personality and Social Research), University of California, Berkeley, 1988-1995.


Awards And Honors

  • Fellow, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2009
  • Harold Lasswell Award for Distinguished Scientific Contribution in the Field of Political Psychology, 2008
  • Grawemeyer World Order Prize, 2007
  • Robert E. Lane Award for best book in political psychology, American Political Science Association, 2006
  • Woodrow Wilson Award for best book published on government, politics, or international affairs, 2006
  • MacArthur Fellow in International Security and Conflict Resolution, 1999-2001
  • National Academy of Sciences Award for Behavioral Research Relevant to the Prevention of War, 1999
  • Nevitt Sanford Award for Distinguished Professional Contributions to Political Psychology, International Society of Political Psychology, 1997
  • Philip Converse Book Award for outstanding book in the field published five or more years ago, American Political Science Association (for co-authored book, Reasoning and choice: Explorations in political psychology, 1992
  • Woodrow Wilson Book Award, American Political Science Association (co-recipient with P. Sniderman & R. Brody, for Reasoning and choice: Explorations in political psychology), 1992
  • American Association for the Advancement of Science Prize for Behavioral Science Research, 1988
  • Erik H. Erikson Award of the International Society of Political Psychology, 1987
  • Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, 1987
  • Fellow of Division 8 of the American Psychological Association, 1987
  • MacArthur Fellow in International Security and Conflict Resolution, 1987-1989
  • Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contribution to Social Psychology, American Psychological Association, 1986
  • Canada Council Doctoral Fellowship, 1977-1979
  • Yale University Fellowship, 1976-1977
  • British Columbia Psychological Association Gold Medal, 1975
  • Governor-General’s Gold Medal, Award for Undergraduate Academic Excellence, 1975

In The News



  • MGMT276 - Cultivating Judgment Skills: Forecasting in Business Politics

    This course will explore the diverse ways in which scholars and practitioners have defined "good judgment." And it will introduce students to practical tools for assessing and improving judgment, with special emphasis on probabilistic reasoning. Students will have the opportunity both to fine-tune their personal judgment skills as well as to master and then weave together insights from several bodies of scientific knowledge, including frequentist and Bayesian statistics, psychological work on judgment and choice, group dynamics, organizational behavior and political science (key concepts discussed in Tetlock's (2015) book "Superforecasting").

    We will focus on bottom-line accuracy in sizing up real world problems. Class work will be primarily exercises, including working as an individual and in teams. You will have opportunities to forecast on a wide range of political, business, and macro-economic questions, which we will use as feedback tools to help you calibrate your judgment. Assessments include a weekly concept test and a final group presentation aimed to help you improve your judgment. The goal is to launch you on the lifelong process of learning how much trust you should place in your judgments of trustworthiness.

    Finally, note this has been approved by the Curriculum Committee effective 11/11/15.

  • MGMT933 - Psychological and Sociological Foundations of Research in Management

    This course, is required of all first-year doctoral students in Management and open to other Penn students with permission, provides an introduction to the psychological and sociological roots of management theory and research. The courseis predicated on the belief that to be effective as a contemporary management scholar one needs a background in "the classics." Therefore, we will be reading classics from the fields of psychology and sociology in their original form during this semester.